Islamabad: The Karachi Stock Exchange's KSE-100 index has recorded its highest return since 2003, culminating in an 89.2% increase for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to 94.4% in US dollar terms. This exceptional performance is attributed primarily to capital appreciation, complemented by robust dividend payouts. The index’s strong showing comes amid a backdrop of stringent fiscal and monetary policies, successful external payment strategies, and a smooth governmental transition.
According to AKD Securities Limited, the KSE-100’s success was significantly supported by sectors like Power Generation and Banks, which not only led the bull run but also showed impressive annual returns. The Power sector topped the performance charts with a 119% return, followed by Banks at 115%, and Exploration and Production (E and Ps) and Fertilizers at 73% and 65%, respectively. On the flip side, the Technology sector had a slight negative impact on the index, particularly due to underperformance by TRG.
Foreign investor confidence in Pakistan remains strong, with net purchases totaling US$140.8 million in FY24, marking the second consecutive year of net buying by foreigners. This trend is a significant reversal from previous years where foreign investment had declined. Local insurance and companies were also active buyers, purchasing US$162.0 million worth of stakes, despite a general trend of selling among other local participants.
The entry into a larger International Monetary Fund (IMF) program and the continuation of monetary easing are expected to further boost investor confidence. Equities are anticipated to remain attractive, with the KSE-100 trading at a forward P/E ratio of just 3.6x, indicating potential for further growth. AKD Securities highlights several sectors and companies as top picks for investment, suggesting a continued positive trajectory influenced by ongoing monetary easing and structural reforms.