Karachi: Pakistan's annual inflation rate is projected to decrease to 10.0% year-on-year in September 2026, primarily due to a decrease in food prices despite rising fuel and electricity costs.

According to AKD Securities Limited, the monthly inflation trend is expected to follow a disinflationary path in September 2026, as food prices are anticipated to deflate by 0.7% month-on-month. This decline is attributed to an improvement in the supply chain, which has helped ease pressure on food prices.

Despite the expected relief in food prices, the inflation outlook remains challenged by an increase in electricity charges and fuel prices. Nevertheless, the overall inflation rate is anticipated to soften, providing some respite to consumers amid fluctuating economic conditions.